Welcome to You Ask Andy

Gloria Stinson, age i4, of Montgounery, Ala., For her question.

How accurate is the weather forecast?

The Weather Bureau issues long  term and short term forecasts. And, as you would expect, the short term forecasts have a higher Percentage of accuracy. Even the Weather Bureau finds it easier to predict tomorrow's weather and harder to predict the Weather for next week.

A 12 hoar forecast is issued for aviation and this report on an average is 95% accurate. Over a reasonable period, this short term forecast is wrong only five times in a hundred. The 24 hour forecasts and the 36 hour forecasts are more than 85% accurate. On an average, this is less than 15 wrong predictions in 100.  The use of weather satellites  has improved the accuracy of weather forecasts.

 

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